So, if you don't mind, I will show my presentation.

Just a few words.

Dear colleagues, welcome to our third and last webinar in a series, Ukraine's economy during the war, organized by the School of Business, Economics and Society of the Friedrich Alexander University, Erlangen-Nürburgring, the Pact for Ukraine project in close collaboration with Ukrainian universities.

And today we will have two presentations.

Our topic is a text in public finance aspects of the war against Ukraine, and you will be hearing a presentation from Professor Dr. Yuri Ivanov, who is representative of Research Center for Industrial Problems of Development of the National Academy of Science of Ukraine, as well as Simon Kuznet's Harkiv National University of Economics.

As well as you will have an opportunity to receive information, a short overview from Professor Dr. Roland Ismer, who represents Friedrich Alexander University, Erlangen-Nürburgring.

Also, there will be time for your questions at the end of the webinar.

So now moving along to our session, please welcome Professor Dr. Yuri Ivanov.

Just a moment.

Yes.

The title of my

not lecture, my speaking, Ukraine Genesis and Risks of Preferential Wartime Text Policy.

First of all, it's very pleasant for me to take part in your webinar.

Thanks for invitation. And first of all, some general figures that connected with our stage of economic

territories on the temporary Russian occupation.

In 19, I'm sorry, 2021.

43.3 thousand kilometers, it's about 7% of Ukrainian territory was occupied.

From nine, from 2014, when the war began.

In July 2022, after the beginning of the Russian invasion, this area increased 2.9 times of about 20% was occupied in summer.

On January 1, 2023, the Defense Forces of Ukraine liberated 40% of the territories occupied after February 24 and

28% of all territories occupied by Russia.

Sorry.

Just a moment.

And now our army is a couple of pages of about 40,000 kilometers from the beginning of this year.

The second problem, not only connected with territory, it's a population, temporary displaced person.

You can see the dynamic on this picture. The nominal population of Ukraine as of January 1, 2022 is 41.17 million.

Left Ukraine since February 28 last year, 14.5 million.

And including to European Union countries, 11.7 million.

If you compare these figures, you can see that more than half of population were

changed the places of his living and working, lose their houses and lose their working places. It's a very difficult situation for economy, for normal

economic life.

In this picture, you can see normal GDP of Ukraine, dynamics, normal GDP of Ukraine.

You can see that in 2021, there was the best figures.

And after that, GDP falls down. But now we haven't a real figures about this. In actual data is not available.

According to IMF for a cause in 2022, Ukrainian GDP will amount to

162.819 million dollars and will decrease by 18.6% compared to 2021.

In our national research and community, we expected more negative figure of about 30%. We expected falling down of GDP.

Nominal GDP of Ukraine per capita, you can see in these figures.

The trend is very similar to the trends of nominal GDP, but maybe situation will be more better because of

we have a lot of

moved out population, a lot of temporary population, people that temporary change the place of its

leave. Volumes of foreign trade. In January, November, last year, 2022, you can see in this picture and export

in last year was only 66% of the volume of exports from this period of 2022.

Import, we have much more better situation, but import in 2022 was only 75.8% from

the import of 2021.

In this slide, you can see

regional aspects of foreign trade. Some regions have very good figures.

You can see here export figures. For example, Cherkasy and Chernivtsi has very good export figures, but

this region, it isn't valuable for foreign trade because all of our economic potential was

in eastern region, in southern region, which were occupied or